MLB - 903 New York Mets @ 904 Pittsburgh Pirates
(Starting Pitchers: D. Gee vs G. Cole)
Pittsburgh just keeps winning with good pitching and some clutch offense on key moments. They will face Dillon Gee today, who has been erratic on his last starts, after a good run of quality outings. Gee's problem is directly related with the fact that he heavily struggles on poor spots. Look at his split stats in terms of rest days this season:
4 days rest: 11 starts - 5.43 ERA
5 days rest: 2 starts - 4.50 ERA
+6 days rest: 5 starts - 2.83 ERA
Gee will come to today's game with just 4 days of rest and he is coming from a start at San Francisco, where he threw 108 pitches. Therefore, he is on a poor spot today and I believe he will eventually get into trouble on this game. Gee had a start against Pittsburgh in May, where he played with 7 days of rest and he dominated at first sight with a 1.80 ERA, but where his advanced numbers tell another story with 4.26 FIP and 5.10 xFIP!
On the other side, Gerrit Cole will start today for the Pirates, replacing the injured Jeff Locke. Cole faced two red hot offenses on his last four outings (Philadelphia and the LA Angels) and he was even able to limit the damage well against the dangerous lineup of the A's with just two earned runs allowed in seven innings. The Mets' lineup shouldn't be too much of a challenge for him and I believe Cole will take this opportunity to impress his coach with another good outing. The Pirates are one victory away of matching the first-half win total of the franchise's celebrated 1971 World Series champion contingent, so this is an important game for them today. They will be fired up and I expect them to pick up a comfortable win in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 904 Pittsburgh Pirates RL -1 (w/ G. Cole) @ -113 / 1.89 on 5Dimes
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