Thursday, July 11, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/10: Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 913 Texas Rangers @ 914 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lindblom vs W. Chen)

Baltimore keeps struggling against LH pitchers. This time it was Martin Perez who dominated them last night and if it wasn't for an error by the Rangers, Baltimore would have scored just two runs last night. Thanks to these struggles, the Orioles are now #24 in the league in hitting versus LH pitchers! The good news is that they will face Josh Lindblom tonight, who is a RH pitcher! Lindblom was recalled from Triple-A yesterday and he has just made four starts for the Rangers this season, where he posted a 5.40 ERA. Even though we are talking about a limited sample, his numbers versus LH batters are quite worrying: .314 BA, .375 wOBA, 5.11 FIP and 4.80 xFIP! This is absolutely perfect for Baltimore's hitters: Davis, Markakis and McLouth are more than ready to pound Lindblom tonight!

On the other side, Baltimore will start Wei-Yin Chen tonight, who is returning from an oblique injury. He had a good rehab session plus a bullpen session, so he seems ready to pitch well tonight. Just like Baltimore, Texas isn't a good hitting team versus LH pitchers and so, Chen has in the Rangers a nice matchup. This is why Chen dominated Texas last year with just one earned run allowed in 7.2 innings. This is a nice bounce back spot for Baltimore, who is 0-2 on this series. The Orioles will finally face a RH pitcher on this series, while Chen should be able to have a nice comeback outing as well. Therefore, I expect an easy win for Baltimore tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ W. Chen) @ -142 / 1.70 on Betonline

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