Sunday, July 21, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/20: Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MLB - 907 Miami Marlins @ 908 Milwaukee Brewers

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs Y. Gallardo)

Nate Eovaldi is probably the most overrated SP in the league right now, as even though he has a 2.93 ERA, he has a 4.01 FIP, 4.62 xFIP and 5.00 SIERA! His command has been horrible with 5/4, 3/3 and 0/3 K/BB on his last three starts! Milwaukee's offense might be horrible on the road, but the story is completely different at home! Therefore, I expect the Brewers to expose Eovaldi's struggles tonight and pound him. 

Yovani Gallardo will start for the Brewers tonight and he has been quite inconsistent as usual. He is coming from a nice last start at Arizona and with 8 days off to rest between starts, I believe that he has a good spot to look good tonight. Miami's offense is back into their regular (poor) level by being #26 in the league over their last 7 games, so I believe Gallardo will look decent tonight. With Gallardo out of trouble and with Eovaldi struggling, I believe Milwaukee will pick up a comfortable win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Milwaukee Brewers RL -1 (w/ Y. Gallardo) @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes

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