Projected Line: 155 points
Connecticut is struggling due to several injury problems with their guards: Kara Lawson is questionable for tonight, while Tan White and Renee Montgomery remain injured. Thanks to this, the potential edge that Connecticut would have against Chicago on 3pts offense disappears, as these injured guards are exactly the Sun's top shooters. So, it isn't a surprise that Connecticut shot just 19-55 (34.5%) 3pts on their last five games, with just one good performance against the terrible Tulsa defense, where they shot 8-14 3pts.
Sylvia Fowles is playing at an impressive level and she will have a great duel tonight against the reigning MVP Tina Charles. Thanks to that, Connecticut's offense will also struggle near the rim, as Charles won't have an easy task tonight. Chicago won't need to double team her, so the Sun's shooters won't have the space that they are used to have. On the other hand, I believe Connecticut will be able to do a decent defensive job tonight as well. I expect this game to be a well-fought contest, where both teams will eventually struggle a bit on offense. Therefore, I don't agree with the current high totals line and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 159,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
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