Projected Line: 155 points
We have two teams in here with different state of minds. Chicago has won their last three games, while showcasing a great offense with 120.8, 110.4 and 103.2 offensive ratings on these games! On the other side, the Liberty's offense has been a disaster lately with 64, 66 and 53 points scored on their last three games. I faded NY on their last game by taking Indiana on a Triple Dime Play, as I expected a letdown from the Liberty, especially considering their turnover problem against the best team in forcing them. That happened exactly with the Liberty committing 22 turnovers in that game, while making just 21 FG shots! I expect the Liberty to have a much better performance today, as while Indiana is #1 in the league in forcing turnovers to their opponents with 17.0% Opp/TO rate, Chicago is second last on this area with just 12.8%!
Chicago's offense has been phenomenal with their inside-out game with Sylvia Fowles down low and Elena Delle Donne plus Epiphanny Price on the perimeter. After a nice start of the season, the Liberty's defense has been terrible as of late, as they averaged a 90.4 defensive rating on their first seven games of the season versus 105.5 defensive rating on their last seven games! I expect this game to be played on a relatively fast pace and with both teams having decent offensive outcomes today, giving us a nice edge to take the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 151,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
No comments:
Post a Comment