Saturday, July 27, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB - 911 Cincinnati Reds @ 912 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: H. Bailey vs C. Kershaw)

Homer Bailey will be the Reds' SP for tonight and he has been struggling a bit since his no-hitter. He allowed three earned runs against Pittsburgh on his last outing, while throwing 121 pitches, so this is a poor spot for him. Over his last 10 games, he had a similar spot when he threw 120 pitches at Chicago against the Cubs and then, with four days of rest like for tonight, he allowed six earned runs on his following game against the Brewers over seven innings! Prior to that, he had another game where he threw 116 pitches also against the Cubs and then, on his following start, he allowed seven earned runs against Cleveland in just 3.2 innings! It's clear that Bailey really struggles on this kind of spot and so, I believe he will have problems tonight.

Clayton Kershaw had an easy schedule on his last six starts, but the truth is that he has been amazing and the 2.01 season ERA doesn't lie! He is coming from just 97 pitches thrown on his last outing at Washington, so he is fresh for tonight's game. I believe the Dodgers will have a clear SP edge in tonight's game and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 912 Los Angeles Dodgers RL -1 (w/ C. Kershaw) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

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