Friday, July 19, 2013

WNBA Free Premium Play 07/19: Connecticut Sun @ Tulsa Shock

WNBA - 603 Connecticut Sun @ 604 Tulsa Shock

Projected Line: Connecticut by 2 points

Connecticut is one of the teams that I really expect to see improvements on their next few games. The Sun had a poor start of the season mostly due to the injuries that they had in the backcourt. Tina Charles is the reigning MVP, but she can't do miracles on her own. The good news is that one of their top guards, Kara Lawson, returned a couple of games ago, while the other top guard, Renee Montgomery, is returning tonight. With these two guards back in combination with Tina Charles down low, Connecticut will automatically improve a lot on offense. Tulsa is coming from a big win at Seattle, where the Storm scored just 59 points, but the truth is that the Shock is still dead last on defensive rates with 107.3! Even a shorthanded Connecticut without Lawson and Montgomery was able to score 88 points against Tulsa on the first game of the season, while shooting 50.8% FG! I expect the Sun to have another big offensive game against the Shock tonight.

Tulsa is coming from a mega blowout 86-59 win at Seattle, but I don't know if we should take this result so seriously. In fact, three of their four wins this season were against Seattle, so it's clear that the Shock have a great matchup with the Storm, but struggle against everybody else. Tulsa will come to tonight's game with a bit more confidence than usual, but they will face a fired up Connecticut, who is looking to start a good run as soon as possible now that they have a healthy backcourt once again. The Sun is definitely a better team than Tulsa and so, I'll be taking them on the moneyline tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Connecticut Sun ML @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker

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