Projected Line: 40 points
After two huge road wins in Houston and in St Louis, I expect Green Bay to relax a bit in perhaps their easiest game of the season. They'll be facing the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars, a team who will be playing without their best player Maurice Jones-Drew today. Aaron Rodgers has been playing at a MVP level once again for the past two weeks, but I expect him to have a bit of a letdown today. Not only his best receivers continue to struggle physically (Greg Jennings is out with an abdominal injury, Jordy Nelson is questionable with a hamstring injury, Jerimichael Finley is probable with a shoulder injury and Donald Driver is probable with a neck injury), as he will be facing a decent Jags defense that even though it is far from the excellent level they showed last season, they are still a decent unit. On such an easy game for Green Bay, I expect them to relax and run the football a good number of times, in order to kill some time as well.
This game will indeed be very easy for Green Bay because Jacksonville's offense is a complete mess right now. Blaine Gabbert keeps being one of the worst quarterbacks in the league and he is injured on his non-throwing shoulder. Now facing a much improved from last season Packers defense that also possesses the best pass rush in the league, I expect Gabbert to have another very poor game while being very pressured by the Packers defense. In terms of the running game, with Maurice Jones-Drew out with a foot injury, Rashad Jennings will be the team's main running back and he won't be able to do a lot without any kind of support from the passing game and with Green Bay's run defense being also far from terrible. Basically, I wouldn't be surprised if Jacksonville fails to score a single touchdown today, finishing the game with just a couple of field goals.
I expect this game to quickly turn into a very easy game for Green Bay in here as the lines suggest, with the Packers shutting down the Jags offense, while Aaron Rodgers has a pretty relaxed day. Therefore, I expect this game to go clearly under the total posted and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 223/224 Under 45,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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