Wednesday, October 31, 2012

NBA Article 10/31: Denver Nuggets @ Philadelphia 76ers


Some notes about Philadelphia vs Denver:

This is possibly the most interesting game of the day, as we are talking two teams that are outsiders on their conferences, but who have potential to be really good. Philadelphia was early at -2 for this game, but now Denver is being favored by 1,5 points. So, there was some line movement on Denver, but also the public is heavy on them. In my opinion, it is just too dangerous to take any side on this contest due to some uncertain factors.

We know very well Denver's style on court: push the pace, score in transition and attack the rim non-stop. This has always been George Karl's formula in Denver and this season won't be an exception to that. The problem is that Philadelphia's defense from last season would always be a tough opponent for them, as I remember that Philadelphia was #1 in points in the paint allowed with 36.4 points and also #1 in fast break points allowed per game with just 10.2 points. Jrue Holliday is the best defensive PG in the league and so, Ty Lawson will struggle tonight.

The problem is that Philadelphia has a lot of new players for this season, so will they keep the same structure? I would say yes, but I'm not entirely sure. Even though they have a lot of new players and they have been playing without Andrew Bynum, Philadelphia looked sharp offensively on the preseason by being #1 in offensive rate!  

On the last preseason game, Denver's frontcourt was crushed by the Clippers' frontcourt, however Philadelphia without Andrew Bynum doesn't have a dangerous frontcourt. These uncertainties makes this matchup the best game of the night, but I'll just be watching it via league pass, as I'm definitely not betting on it.

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