MLB - 913 New York Yankees @ 914 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: C. Sabathia vs M. Scherzer)
The Yankees will start CC Sabathia, who has been amazing on this postseason, with two excellent outings against Baltimore that put him with a 1.53 ERA, 1.79 FIP and 3.21 xFIP on the playoffs. Sabathia is a tough matchup for Detroit, as they struggle against LH pitchers and they are just hitting 2.55 BA against him. Already on this season, Detroit faced Sabathia three times this season and he allowed just 3, 3 and 2 earned runs to the Tigers. Sabathia is currently on his best moment of the season right now and he will go deep in the game for sure. If the Yankees lose today, it won't be because Scherzer outpitched Sabathia.
Detroit will start Scherzer, who had 7 days off for tonight. He looked very good on his start against Oakland on his only postseason start for now, with 0.00 ERA, 0.66 FIP and 1.76 xFIP. He dominated early on, but he had some struggles in the 5th inning, where Detroit's coach panicked and decided to remove him from the game with just 91 pitches thrown. The fact that he didn't throw in the previous game shows that Detroit has some doubts about his shoulder's health.
Therefore, I expect CC Sabathia to out-duel Scherzer, with the help of the extra rest day that Sabathia certainly appreciated. This extra day will also help the Yankees to have a better mental focus for today, while yesterday things would be much tougher for them, on a back-to-back game after getting down in the series by 0-3 on the night before. So, I'll be taking the Yankees in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 New York Yankees ML (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -112 / 1.89 on 5Dimes
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