MLB Free Premium Play 10/12: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

Baltimore  at New York

MLB - 943 Baltimore Orioles @ 944 New York Yankees (Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs C. Sabathia) The Yankees are big favorites for this contest, but this happens for some reason and this is due to a huge pitching edge they will have in here,especially when I expect this game to become a pitchers duel. I expect Sabathia to go deeper in the league than Hammel and with that, the Orioles' bullpen will be more used today than the Yankees' bullpen and this will cause them problems today. Hammel threw 113 pitches on the Game 1 of this series and that's a lot for a player coming from the DL who didn't pitch for about a month. He had a 19.8 pitch/IP in that outing and this is why he threw 113 pitches in just 5.2 innings. With the last two games of the series only ending in the 12th and 13th innings, Baltimore's top 3 bullpen players (O'Day, Johnson and Strop) were used yesterday on 1.0, 2.2 and 2.0 innings and if we add to this the fact that the Yankees' SP have always gone deeper than Baltimore's SP in this series (8.2 vs 5.2; 7.0 vs 6.1; 8.1 vs 7.0; 6.2 vs 5.2), I believe the Yankees will have a clear pitching edge on this contest, with their bullpen being more rested, excluding Soriano, as their #2 bullpen player Robertson threw just 8 pitches yesterday. The Yankees offense has been better against RH pitchers and this is the main reason why Baltimore decided to start the LH Saunders yesterday. In fact, the Yankees offense is #6 against LHP and #1 against RHP and on contests against RH pitchers, Joe Girardi has more flexibility to make changes on his lineup and with Jeter being able to play at SS and with A-Rod out, the Yankees lineup will be at their current best today, with Ibanez as DH and Chavez at 3B. I expect the Yankees to be able to put Hammel in some problems today and with Sabathia + bullpen dominating the Orioles, I expect a comfortable win for the Yankees today. So, I'll be taking the Yankees in here. NOTE: Also available on 5Dimes at -146 / 1.69 Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 944 New York Yankees RL -1 (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -143 / 1.70 on Pinnacle