MLB Free Premium Play 10/11: San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds

San Francisco  at Cincinnati

MLB - 933 San Francisco Giants @ 934 Cincinnati Reds (Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs M. Latos) I really don’t mind to take a shot on the Giants with plus money in today’s decisive game 5 against the Reds. The Reds had all the “momentum” on their side to finish off the Giants in game 3 but now after losing two consecutive games at home I don’t think that they will be with the same confidence displayed in the two first games in San Francisco. Matt Cain was outpitched by Latos in game 1 of the series but still I think that today Cain will "outpitch" Latos. Cain’s stuff is tougher for right handed hitters w/ .184 BA, .211 BABIP & 3.32 FIP vs. .253 BA, .313 BABIP & 3.50 FIP against LH hitters in this season and the Reds have 7 RH hitters vs just 2 LH hitters in their lineup. I understand that Cain is 0-3 this season against the Reds but in the last game he made just two mistakes that were costly and ended up being two home runs. However note that we are not talking about the same “Reds” hitters that were confident are ready to play in game 1 of the series, instead we are talking about a lineup that was dominated yesterday by Tim Lincecum! On the other side, the same thing can be said about Mat Latos in a sense that the circumstances surrounding today’s game will be different from game 1. First of all, the Giants weren't “ready” to face Latos in that game. Obviously all the scouting report was directed for the Giants hitters to face Johnny Cueto but Cueto didn't even last one mere inning so the Giants were in a tough spot to make adjustments in-game that they weren't able to make. It didn't help the fact that for some reason their bats simply weren't there but for today they are coming from a game in which the top of the order 1-2-3 went 6-11 AB with 6 RBI’s. This time, the Giants will be ready to face Latos. Latos is having a good season but has clearly worst numbers against left handed hitters w/ .250 BA, .440 SLG & 4.20 FIP and the Giants will have 5 hitters hitting from his left side (Pagan, Sandoval, Belt, Blanco and Crawford). Yesterday the Giants didn’t use any of their top bullpen guys so it will be tough for the Reds to produce on offense today while the Giants have the momentum factor on their side and especially a superior experience in this type of games and still they are the underdogs in this contest... Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 933 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Cain) @ +116 / 2.16 on Betonline