NFL Week 4 - 417 Cleveland Browns @ 418 New York Giants
Projected Line: 47 points
It may seem a bit risky to take the over in a game involving the Browns, however I believe we have the right conditions in here to watch a relatively high scoring game. The Giants offense has been at a decent level this season, especially on the passing game with Eli Manning being able to throw the football reasonably well to his receivers with the help from his quality Offensive Line. Cleveland has been struggling on their secondary and their pass rush isn't good enough to trouble the Giants' OL, therefore I believe Eli Manning will have a good game today. In terms of the running game, Ahmad Bradshaw has been struggling, but Andre Brown is looking very good on this early season. With the Giants having a good passing game, their running game is their backup plan and they should be able to do enough today against a Browns run defense that isn't terrible, but isn't top notch neither.
The Browns offense should also be able to have some decent offense in here. Their rookie QB Brandon Weeden has been struggling a bit with turnovers, but he has been able to give the team decent yardage, something that should happen again today against a team that has been struggling on secondary and that will surely be missing starting CB Jayron Hosley and S Kenny Phillips plus CB Corey Webster is also questionable for today. The Giants' pass rush has been disappointing as well this season, especially considering what they did in last season's playoffs, therefore I believe Cleveland will have a decent performance on their passing game today. In terms of the running game, rookie RB Trent Richardson has been a bit disappointing this season, however the Giants have been struggling on their run defense this season, therefore I wouldn't be surprised if Trent Richardson has some kind of a breakout game today.
Even with some light rain predicted for today's game, I believe both teams should be able to have a decent offensive production in here. The Giants have a good passing game and Cleveland has been struggling on their secondary, while the Giants have injury problems on their secondary and have been struggling on their run defense, two issues that Cleveland should take advantage from that today to score a respectable amount of points. I projected this game to have a totals line of 47 points, therefore I have enough edge to take the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 417/418 Over 43 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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