NFL Week 4 - 231 Chicago Bears @ 232 Dallas Cowboys
Projected Line: pk line
I was having some doubts on this game and I was actually leaning towards taking the Under, until Matt Forte made a great recovery and he is now probable to play tonight. With Matt Forte on the field, everything changes and I expect the Bears to be the best team on the field tonight, with their offense back at their level. Without Matt Forte last week at home against the Rams, Chicago's offense became extremely predictable on the passing game plus Michael Bush for the short yardage and they couldn't do a thing against the Rams. If they had to play without Forte once again tonight, they would have been in huge trouble, but with Matt Forte on the field, Chicago becomes a well-balanced team, with a good threat on the running game and also a decent threat on the passing game, with Jay Cutler having in Brandon Marshall, Devin Hester and Alshon Jeffrey, three wide receivers capable of making big offensive plays for the Bears. Even though the Bears' Offensive Line has been struggling, the return of Matt Forte also helps Jay Cutler in not being so pressured tonight by a good Cowboys pass rush that will be missing some starters on the front seven and therefore may not be as strong as usual. Bottom line, with Matt Forte on the field, I believe the Bears will have at least a respectable offensive production tonight.
On the other hand, I'm not so sure that Dallas will have a good offensive game. The Bears are defending extremely well right now and their pass rush has been lethal, something that will put loads of pressure on Tony Romo, a player who is known for not handling pressure well, and on an Offensive Line that I believe isn't good and started to struggle last week against the Buccaneers. Chicago also possesses a good run defense and I don't believe DeMarco Murray will bounce back tonight after two games against Seattle and Tampa Bay, where he did very little. The Bears' secondary may not be one of the best in the league, but with Tony Romo pressured by the pass rush and with the Cowboys lacking good depth on the receivers corps, I believe Dallas will definitely have troubles tonight on their offense.
Not only Chicago is likely to have a better offensive night than Dallas, as they have also a much better special teams unit that should also give them a good edge on this unit. I believe Chicago, with Matt Forte back, is the better team of the two and therefore, I'll be taking them plus the points tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 231 Chicago Bears (+3) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker
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