NFL Week 4 - 219 Miami Dolphins @ 220 Arizona Cardinals
Projected Line: 44 points
It might seem weird to take the Over on a contest between two teams not exactly known for their great offensive football, however I see a lot of reasons to actually believe this will be a relatively high scoring game, with both teams being able to have a good offensive game today.
Arizona is one of the three teams still undefeated in the league and it's clear that the main reason for that is their defense. However, Kevin Kolb is doing a good job as their Quarterback since John Skelton went down with an ankle injury, giving the Cardinals a solid passing game. I believe Arizona has a good matchup to explore today, as Miami's best secondary player CB Richard Marshall is unlikely to play today and therefore, Larry Fitzgerald should have a very favorable matchup to explore today, allowing Arizona to have some big passing plays today. Arizona's running game suffered a blow with RB Beanie Wells going into the IR, however the Cardinals have good depth on the RB position with Ryan Williams being the team's primary RB for today and he should be able to give some support to Arizona's passing game that should be having a good day today, especially as Miami lacks a good pass rush that can put pressure on Kolb.
In terms of the Dolphins' offense, they have been surprising everybody with their super competent running game, with Daniel Thomas, Reggie Bush and Lamar Miller being able to give the team some excellent offensive production, mostly helped by a very good Offensive Line. Arizona is certainly better on pass defense than on run defense, therefore I believe Miami should be able to put the Cardinals in trouble with their potent running game today. On the other hand, Ryan Tannehill should have a very tough day today against the Cardinals great pass defense, with the only good news for him being the fact that he has a very good Offensive Line around him that should be able to limit Arizona's good pass rush that has been very good on this early season.
I also have to mention that both Arizona and Miami have a great returner in Patrick Peterson and Marcus Thigpen respectively and these two players should at least give their teams a good starting position on their drives today. I believe Arizona with the passing game and Miami with the running game should be able to have a decent offensive production today and therefore, looking at the low totals line set to this game, I see value on the Over and so, I'll be taking it in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 219/220 Over 40,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment