WNBA - 605 Minnesota Lynx @ 606 Tulsa Shock
Projected Line: 166 points
Minnesota's offense won't have problems in scoring against Tulsa, a team who is super turnover prone, who has a poor transition defense (15 fast break points allowed per game) and with no good interior presence, as Liz Cambage is still out due to injury. The Lynx had a terrible game at Washington, with a poor 99 offensive rating. That's poor for them as a 99 offensive rating isn't that bad league-wise. However, they had offensive ratings of 123.3, 128.1 and 115.5 on their first three games of the season and I expect them to get back at this level tonight. Minnesota certainly want to win on the road tonight after their loss at Washington, however they have a similar mindset to the Miami Heat. They don't show a lot of defensive effort, as their offense is good enough for them to keep winning comfortably.
Tulsa is still a work in progress, but they are an uptempo team who plays undersized, so they will want to run a lot tonight. They are coming from two low scoring games in a row, but they are at Seattle (half court team) and then a brutal back to back game at LA against the Sparks, where they had no legs. They are fresh for tonight, so I expect a very high scoring game in here. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over on this game tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Over 162 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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