MLB - 955 Atlanta Braves @ 956 Milwaukee Brewers
(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs A. Figaro)
Atlanta's offense has been terrible as of late with .562 OPS and 22.5 K% over the last 7 days! They suffered two shutouts in a row, even though they faced subpar pitchers like Wily Peralta and Donovan Hand. The Braves will now be facing Alfredo Figaro, who has been showing good command with 3/2, 4/0, 6/0 and 4/1 K/BB ratios! He is an extreme groundball pitcher and against a struggling Atlanta, I expect him to have a nice outing today.
On the other hand, the Braves will be starting Paul Maholm, who is being much worse on the road than at home this season. He had three favorable matchups on his last three outings: vs NYM (#23 vs LHP) and before that, he played at San Diego and at LA against the Dodgers, in two pitchers-friendly parks. Things will be much tougher for him at Milwaukee, a team that is #8 in the league on hitting against LH pitchers. On Maholm's last three starts at Milwaukee, he allowed six, four and three earned runs, so things should be tough for Maholm today. With the Braves' lineup and Maholm struggling today, I believe Milwaukee has great value as a home underdog today and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ A. Figaro) @ +128 / 2.28 on Bovada
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