MLB - 977 Cincinnati Reds @ 978 Texas Rangers
(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs N. Tepesch)
Texas will start Nick Tepesch tonight, who started the season well but without a great stuff, but he is now in fade alert mode! June is being by far his worst month of the season with 4.79 FIP and 4.29 xFIP and even on his last outing at St Louis where he pitched well, his advanced numbers were still not good with 5.53 FIP and 4.98 xFIP! Tepesch has horrible problems with LH batters with .307 BA and .369 wOBA allowed, while having a 5.28 FIP and 4.02 xFIP against them! This is why Cincinnati will start the following lineup tonight, with six batters hitting on the left side!
1. Shin-Soo Choo (L) CF
2. Zack Cozart (R) SS
3. Joey Votto (L) 1B
4. Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
5. Jay Bruce (L) RF
6. Xavier Paul (L) DH
7. Jack Hannahan (L) 3B
8. Devin Mesoraco (R) C
9. Derrick Robinson (S) LF
The Reds will start Mike Leake and he held the Dbacks to just two runs and four hits in eight innings last Saturday. Leake had already been great against Pittsburgh, a team that is currently red hot. Leake is yet to face the Rangers, so he will have the surprise factor working for him and with both offenses being at a similar level, I have to see value in Cincinnati, as they clearly have a SP edge on tonight's matchup. Therefore, I'll be taking the Reds in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 977 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ M. Leake) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bovada
No comments:
Post a Comment