MLB - 961 San Diego Padres @ 962 San Francisco Giants
(Starting Pitchers: E. Volquez vs B. Zito)
The Padres are completely on fired right now. They took advantage of the home court edge, but their combination of good pitching with clutch hitting allowed them to win their last six games. On the other hand, the Giants are in a poor spot tonight, as they played at Atlanta last night on a Sunday Night Baseball game. San Diego will start Edison Volquez and he has been quite inconsistent this season. He got crushed at Colorado with nine runs and eleven hits allowed in just 2.1 innings, but we have to take in consideration that there aren't a lot of pitchers who don't get crushed at Colorado nowadays. After that game, Volquez bounced back against Atlanta with one run allowed in seven innings, while striking out nine batters! I know that he has a problem with walking batters, but he has a favorable matchup tonight. San Francisco is a pitcher-friendly park and the Giants lack patient to get walked a lot of times, with a 6.3% BB% over the last 14 days (#29)! The Giants' lineup has been inconsistent now that they're shorthanded and so, I expect Volquez to have a positive outing tonight.
On the other hand, Barry Zito will pitch for the Giants and it seems that he has exploded. He had a nice start of the season, but now he is either too hittable or has a really poor control. I faded him at Pittsburgh on his last outing and he allowed eleven runs in just 4.2 innings! Before that, he faced Toronto and couldn't strike out a single batter. He played better against Oakland, but he walked six batters and got luck that the Athletics were on a poor day and couldn't take advantage of that. Things will be different against the red hot Padres. San Diego is #4 on the league in OPS with .778 over the past two weeks, while hitting .306 BA on their last 10 games against LH pitchers! Zito has faced the Padres twice earlier on the season and he pitched well with just one and zero runs allowed, even though he pitched for just 3.2 innings on his last start with a terrible 24.8 P/IP! Now the Padres are much better than they were when they faced Zito in April, so I expect them to pound Zito tonight and pick up their seventh win in a row in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 961 San Diego Padres ML (w/ E. Volquez) @ +107 / 2.07 on Betonline
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