Sunday, June 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/29: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 953 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs T. Hudson)

Ian Kennedy returns today after getting suspended by 10 games for the brawl against San Diego. I don't know if this forced stop was good for him. He was struggling in June, with a 5.59 FIP and 4.24 xFIP, and as he is a flyball pitcher, he needs to be careful with homeruns and this was one of the main reasons for his struggles, as he allowed at least one homerun in all of his last five starts. Kennedy will face the Braves today, whose roster has great numbers against him: .288 BA and .830 OPS in 59 AB's!

Atlanta will start Tim Hudson today and they lost the last four games where Hudson was in the mount. However, he was competent in all those games! On his last outing at Milwaukee, he allowed just two runs in six innings. Hudson is particularly good against RH batters with a 2.95 FIP and 2.81 xFIP, but he struggles a bit against LH batters with 4.37 FIP and 4.48 xFIP. Arizona normally has four LH batters in the lineup, but they haven't been hitting well as of late: Parra .603 OPS, Montero .748 OPS, Kubel .669 OPS and Gregorius .548 OPS! Only Montero has been good lately, so Hudson should have a good outing today, allowing his team to pick up an easy win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ T. Hudson) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

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