Saturday, June 22, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/21: Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs R. Dickey)

Toronto is now 35-36 on the standings and this comeback has been the result of very good pitching (bullpen included), while their offense has been solid as usual. They will face Jason Hammel, who is on an extra rest spot, but due to illness. Hammel's last starts were against good offenses, but where he showed poor command with 1/2, 3/2 and 0/3 K/BB ratios, while allowing homeruns on every of these outings. Now against a confident Blue Rays' lineup, I expect Toronto to pound him tonight.

R.A. Dickey will start for Toronto tonight and he has been inconsistent with 1, 7, 0, 6, 6, 2, 2, 2 and 7 runs allowed on his last nine starts. Dickey allowed just one run against the Rangers on his last outing last Saturday and he is now on a revenge spot against the Orioles, as he has struggled against Baltimore twice earlier on the season. However, it's important to note that Dickey had 5 days of rest for tonight's game and he has a 3.14 ERA and .581 OPS on this kind of spot, while he has 5.80 ERA and .853 OPS with 4 days of rest. Those two outings against the Orioles were on 4 day rest spots, so this might be the key in here. Anyway, Toronto is now playing much better than they were earlier on the season and so, I expect them to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ R. Dickey) @ -117 / 1.86 on Betonline

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