MLB - 965 Kansas City Royals @ 966 Minnesota Twins
(Starting Pitchers: J. Guthrie vs S. Deduno)
Jeremy Guthrie will start for the Royals tonight and he got completely pounded on his last start, where he allowed six runs on just 2.1 innings at home against the White Sox. His command has been plain horrible lately (1/3, 3/3, 0/3 and 4/3 K/BB on his last four games), while having a 6.93 FIP and 6.95 xFIP in June! Guthrie had two starts against Minnesota and he had worse advanced numbers than his ERA, something that tells us that he was lucky in both outings. With him struggling so much right now, Minnesota should be able to pound him in here.
Minnesota will start Samuel Deduno, who had a nice outing at Cleveland, but got "betrayed" by the Twins' bullpen. After allowing two baserunners to start the 7th inning, Deduno turned things over to the bullpen which proceeded to add fuel to the fire by allowing both to score. He has been constantly giving quality outings to his team and with a 2.76 FIP and 3.64 xFIP in June, he is definitely pitching quite well right now. Deduno has a problem with walking batters, but the Royals are just #27 on BB% with 6.7% and a brutal 5% over the last week, so Deduno won't have problems with this tonight. With the Twins having a clear SP edge in here, besides a matchup edge on hitting, as Kansas City has been very poor this season versus RH pitchers, I expect Minnesota to pick up a comfortable win today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Minnesota Twins ML (w/ S. Deduno) @ -129 / 1.78 on Betonline
No comments:
Post a Comment