MLB - 917 Kansas City Royals @ 918 Tampa Bay Rays
(Starting Pitchers: W. Davis vs R. Hernandez)
Tampa Bay finally won a game against Kansas City yesterday. The Rays will start Wade Davis today, who is coming from a last start against Boston, where he threw 122 pitches, and he had just 4 days of rest for today's game. So, I don't expect Hernandez to be fully fresh for today. He has the changeup as his strong pitch and he has indeed some excellent numbers against RH batters (2.47 FIP and 2.45 xFIP), however his numbers are really poor against LH batters (6.03 FIP and 4.30 xFIP)! Kansas City may have five lefties on the lineup today, so they will be a tough matchup for him, on an outing where Hernandez won't be fully rested. This is the recipe for disaster in my opinion.
On the other hand, Kansas City will start Wade Davis, who has been inconsistent as of late with three bad starts on his last ten games, where he allowed 8, 7 and 6 runs! However, he looked good on his last two starts against Minnesota and Detroit! This will be Davis's first start against his former team, so he will surely be fired up for today. Considering the fact that Hernandez is on a poor spot and the Rays' bullpen will be tired as well, I believe Davis with a decent outing and the Royals' in-form lineup have a great chance of turning this game into a very competitive one at least.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917 Kansas City Royals RL +1 (w/ W. Davis) @ -108 / 1.93 on 5Dimes
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