Wednesday, June 19, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/18: Chicago Cubs @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 907 Chicago Cubs @ 908 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs A. Wainwright)

The Cubs showed yesterday that their offense is yesterday poor and not even a nice outing by Travis Wood allowed the Cubs to win yesterday's game. The lack of run support isn't a surprise for Jeff Samardzija, as even though he has a 3.46 ERA this season, his record is just 3-7! He is coming from his worst start of the season against Cincinnati, but curiously he didn't lose that decision, even though he allowed five runs and ten hits on six innings, for a season high 116 pitches! This won't be a nice spot for him, as it will be his second straight start with just four days of rest between games and he is also coming from high pitch count games with 112 and 116 pitches! Samardzija has one of the best K/9 ratios in the league with 10.29, but the Cardinals are one of the teams in the league that gets strike out the least with just 18.0% K% (#6). Therefore, I believe St Louis will put Samardzija in trouble today.

Adam Wainwright will start for the Cardinals and he is simply the best pitcher of the league this season with an incredible 1.78 FIP! Unlike Samardzija, Wainwright's last outing was on an early game where he threw just 95 pitches and having in account the Cubs' offensive struggles (#27 on OPS over the last 14 days), I believe Wainwright will comfortable dominating another opponent tonight. The Cardinals have a SP edge, a better offense and their SP has also a better spot for tonight, so I expect an easy win for them tonight and therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 St Louis Cardinals RL -1.5 (w/ A. Wainwright) @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker

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