(Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs C. Morton)
The Pirates crushed the Giants on the first two games of this series by taking advantage of San Francisco starting Tim Lincecum and Barry Zito, who are currently struggling. The Giants will start Matt Cain tonight and even though he is currently posting a season ERA of 5.09, he has been pitching much better lately and he actually has a nice matchup against the Pirates tonight. Cain has posted five quality starts on his last seven outings, including his last start against the tough Dbacks at Arizona, where he allowed just one run over seven innings. His two poor starts were at Colorado (hitter-friendly park) and at St Louis (who is a horrible for him). Besides that, Cain has been looking impressive lately. Pittsburgh's offense is just ranked #24 and his current record is just hitting .165 BA and .477 OPS in 115 AB's against Cain. Therefore, I expect Cain to have another quality start tonight.
On the other hand, the Pirates will start Charlie Morton, on his first start of the season. He is coming from Tommy John surgery and he threw just 19 innings on the minor leagues to get ready for this start. In my opinion, that isn't enough for him to be sharp and dominate on the Majors. With Morton under pressure tonight, I expect the Giants to be fired up tonight to avoid a series sweep. Considering the Giants' considerable SP edge for tonight, I like them in here to win tonight's game and avoiding getting swept on this series.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Cain) @ -114 / 1.88 on 5Dimes
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