Monday, June 17, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/16: Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

MLB - 921 Chicago White Sox @ 922 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: H. Santiago vs D. Keuchel)

Houston will start Dallas Keuchel today, who has been great as of late, with his last two outings being against the top offenses of Oakland and Boston, with him striking out six and nine batters! Look at his evolution this season FIP wise:

March/April: 5.78 FIP
May: 4.58 FIP
June: 3.39 FIP

Keuchel has the best groundball ratio of the league and he will have a very favorable matchup for him, as the White Sox are an awful offense against LH pitchers (#25), as they are also a team whose offense is more comfortable in hitting flyballs. Their GB% rate is 40.6%, the second worst in the league! So, this is a great spot for Keuchel to keep dominating.

On the other side, the White Sox will start Hector Santiago, who is coming from a start against Oakland, where the advanced numbers (4.64 FIP; 4.14 xFIP) were much worse than his 1.42 ERA! Houston's offense is currently very confident with 2-0 on this series and they are a great hitting team versus LH pitchers by being #6 in the league! The White Sox has exclusively sent LH pitchers to the mount on this series, so the Astros will be more than ready to pound Santiago, picking up another win today, also with the help of the in-form Keuchel.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Houston Astros ML (w/ D. Keuchel) @ +119 / 2.19 on Bovada

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