Sunday, June 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/29: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 955 San Francisco Giants @ 956 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs J. De La Rosa)

San Francisco couldn't make Jhoulys Chacin struggle yesterday with just four runs and with their run scored being against the bullpen. The Giants will try to bounce back today with Matt Cain, who has been pitching well as of late with 2.72 FIP and 3.13 xFIP! He had just two bad starts over his last 10 starts, with one of them being exactly at Colorado, where he allowed three homeruns. As Cain is a flyball pitcher, this detail is an important one in games played in Colorado, but it looks like the humidity in Colorado will be very low and with the wind being low as well, with the same thing happening with temperatures. Therefore, Cain should be helped with the weather and have a nice outing today.

On the other hand, Jorge De La Rosa will start for the Rockies today and he has been pitching well lately, even though the 3+3+3 walks on his last three outings are certainly a reason for concern. Also the fact that he faced Washington twice on the last three games helped him, as the Nationals are the worst team in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers! De La Rosa faced also the Blue Jays during this stretch of games, a team that is also just #25 in the league versus LH pitchers! Therefore, I believe he is coming overrated for today's game. He had two starts against San Francisco earlier on the season and he struggled in both games, with five and three runs allowed. One of the reasons why De La Rosa struggled was because he isn't a good pitcher versus RH hitters with .306 wOBA, 3.77 FIP and 4.17 xFIP allowed to them. The Giants' lineup consists mostly of RH batters, so they should be able to pound De La Rosa today and get a nice bounce back win for the Giants in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Cain) @ -101 / 1.99 on Betonline

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