Saturday, June 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/14: Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

MLB - 903 Milwaukee Brewers @ 904 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: K. Lohse vs B. Arroyo)

Milwaukee had an off day to rest yesterday and they are coming to this series with some momentum, as they have won five of their last six games. On the other hand, Cincinnati is coming from a marathon game yesterday at Chicago against the Cubs that only ended on the 14th inning! The Brewers are starting Kyle Lohse tonight, who had a shoulder injury and when he came back, he got crushed at Minnesota with six runs allowed! But after that, he looked good against both Oakland and Philadelphia, while having a combined 9/1 K/BB ratio! His main issue this season has been walking batters and homeruns, but it seems that he has solved his issues with walks recently. Lohse has good numbers against the Reds' roster by allowing just .228 BA and .637 OPS in 123 AB's! Therefore, I expect Lohse to have a quality outing tonight.

Cincinnati will start Bronson Arroyo tonight, who is coming from an acceptable outing on Sunday Night Baseball against the Cardinals. He is coming from two positive games against Colorado and St Louis, who are #2 and #7 in the league versus RH pitchers! In fact, Arroyo has been pitching well against RH hitters this season, so he is likely to have another positive outing tonight. However, considering Milwaukee's better spot and momentum for tonight, I believe the Brewers have some great value tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ K. Lohse) @ +132 / 2.32 on Betonline

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