Tuesday, June 18, 2013

MLB Free Premium Play 06/18: Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 909 Miami Marlins @ 910 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs R. Delgado)

Miami is starting Nate Eovaldi tonight, on his season debut after missing the first two and a half months of the season due to a shoulder injury. Eovaldi did just 20 innings of work on the minors after getting injured on Spring Training and his stats weren't very impressive: 4.35 ERA and 15/6 K/BB. He is terrible against LH batters and the numbers don't lie: .305 BA, .361 wOBA, 4.41 FIP and 4.89 xFIP on his career against them. Arizona will use four LH batters on his lineup tonight, so Eovaldi should clearly struggle in here:

1. Gerardo Parra (L) RF
2. Willie Bloomquist (R) 2B
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
4. Miguel Montero (L) C
5. Martin Prado (R) 3B
6. Jason Kubel (L) LF
7. A.J. Pollock (R) CF
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS
9. Randall Delgado (R) P

On the other side, Arizona will start Randall Delgado, who got called up to start tonight's game. He owns a 5.91 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Reno this season and even though he has been pitching better on the minors lately, I'm not impressed by him. He possesses just two kind of pitches (fastball + change up) and Miami's offense has been quite decent lately, with the return of Logan Morrison and Giancarlo Stanton to the lineup. Of course the Marlins had some problems on batting against Patrick Corbin yesterday, but now against a much easier opponent, I expect the Marlins to show the nice hitting they showed last weekend on their series against the Cardinals tonight.

I believe that at least one of these two pitchers will heavily struggle tonight, while the other one won't surely have a perfect outing in here. This should turn this game into a high scoring contest and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909/910 Over 8.5 (w/ N. Eovaldi & R. Delgado) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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