MLB - 917 Chicago White Sox @ 918 Kansas City Royals
(Starting Pitchers: J. Quintana vs W. Davis)
NOTE: No writeup for this play
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917/918 Over 8.5 (w/ J. Quintana & W. Davis) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
MLB - 925 Houston Astros @ 926 Chicago Cubs
(Starting Pitchers: B. Norris vs T. Wood)
NOTE: Writeup to be added soon
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925/926 Over 9 (w/ B. Norris & T. Wood) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker
MLB - 909 Cincinnati Reds @ 910 Arizona Diamondbacks
(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs P. Corbin)
I believe Mike Leake is being way overrated for this contest. He may have a 2.64 ERA, but his advanced stats tell another story: 3.49 FIP, 3.75 xFIP and 3.82 SIERA! He had an easy schedule on his last four starts by facing Pittsburgh twice, the Cubs and St Louis. The Cardinals were the only good team he faced during this span of games and he struggled with three runs and six hits allowed on five innings. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is #20 vs RHP and the Cubs are #22, while Arizona is #9 with .743 OPS! To make things worse for Leake tonight, Arizona's roster is hitting .357 BA and .915 OPS on 56 AB's against Leake and so, I expect Leake to struggle tonight.
Arizona will start Patrick Corbin tonight, who allowed two runs on eight innings against Miami last Monday. He allowed only two hits on that outing, while looking quite impressive once again with a 7/1 K/BB ratio. Corbin is a very competent pitcher, who allows a small number of hits and walks few batters. Cincinnati's offense uses to be a good hitting team vs LH pitchers, but they are just hitting .206 BA vs LHP on their last 10 games. I believe we have a good pitching edge favoring Arizona tonight, while their offense has woken up yesterday and seems ready to pound Leake tonight. Therefore, I'll take the Dbacks in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ P. Corbin) @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes
MLB - 921 Boston Red Sox @ 922 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: A. Webster vs M. Scherzer)
On this series between the two best offensive teams in the league, pitchers can't really struggle or they get pounded big time. Boston will start Allen Webster tonight and he struggled against Minnesota and Kansas City (#18 and #28 vs RH pitchers) by allowing eight and three runs respectively. He also allowed two home runs on each game. Now against Detroit, the Tigers won't give him any chance and they will pound Webster tonight.
On the other hand, Max Scherzer will start for the Tigers and he improved to 10-0 this season with a win against the Orioles last Monday, where he allowed just one run in six innings. He is currently posting a 3.08 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, while having 116 strikeouts in 96.1 innings! The Red Sox are a tough opponent, but Scherzer seems ready to handle them with some comfort and certainly on a much easier way than Webster will handle the Tigers' lineup. Therefore, I see Detroit picking up an easy win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Detroit Tigers RL -1 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -136 / 1.74 on 5Dimes
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