Saturday, June 22, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/21: Texas Rangers @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 977 Texas Rangers @ 978 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: D. Holland vs T. Lyons)

This is the first game between these two teams since the 2011 World Series, so it's normal that Texas is coming fired up for the first game of the series. They are coming from a 3-1 series win over Oakland that has allowed them to come closer from the top of the AL West, so they are very confident right now as well. I believe the Rangers will have a clear SP edge tonight. Tyler Lyons will start for the Cardinals and he hasn't been able to surprise his opponents anymore, with 6, 4 and 4 runs allowed on his last three outings, including a very problematic last game against the lowly Marlins. 

On the other hand, Derek Holland will start for Texas and he will benefit from the fact that St Louis's lineup is far from the same production this season against LH pitchers that they have been having against RH pitchers! The Cardinals are just #23 in the league versus LH pitchers this season with just .669 OPS! Holland is coming from a poor outing at home against Toronto, where his flyball style was punished by Toronto's powerful lineup who is currently red hot and had two homeruns in that game. Before that, Holland had also struggled at Cleveland, but the Indians are #3 in the league versus LH pitchers this season with .763 OPS, so their last two outings were tough matchups for him, while tonight's matchup should be fairly easier for him.

Considering the fact that Lyons is currently struggling and that Holland has a nice matchup tonight, I believe Texas will take advantage of this considerable SP edge to pick up a very important road win for their ego tonight. I'm taking the Rangers tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 977 Texas Rangers ML (w/ D. Holland) @ -103 / 1.97 on Bovada

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