Saturday, June 22, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/21: Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 957 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Cueto vs W. Miley)

Arizona is on a nice spot, as they had a day off yesterday, while Cincinnati played an early game yesterday and then had to travel to Arizona. The Reds are starting Johnny Cueto, who returned from the DL and then had some problems against the Mets, with three runs allowed in five innings, while showing some rust. But since then, he has dominated both the Pirates and the Brewers with dominant performances with a combined of just one run allowed on these two outings! The Dbacks' lineup has been struggling as of late, so I expect Cueto to have another good outing tonight.

On the other hand, Wade Miley will start for Arizona and he is currently on fade alert mode. He started the season very well with 3.25 FIP in April, but he has since regressed with 5.32 FIP in May and 4.61 FIP in June. On his last outing, he allowed six runs on six innings against San Diego. Miley has been struggling against RH batters and this is especially worrying against the Reds' lineup who is full of righties plus the left-handed top hitters Shin-Soo Choo, Joey Votto and Jay Bruce. So, it's no surprise that Cincinnati is #8 in the league versus LH pitchers this season. Cincinnati has a clear SP edge tonight and the Reds' lineup is a patient one and they will give a lot of work to Miley, who has been struggling in striking out batters. Therefore, I expect Cincinnati to take advantage of their edges in here to pick up a nice road win tonight.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ J. Cueto) @ -108 / 1.93 on 5Dimes

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