Friday, June 28, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/27: Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB - 955 Philadelphia Phillies @ 956 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Pettibone vs Z. Greinke)

The Dodgers swept San Francisco on a 3-game series and their 4-2 win yesterday was easier than it looks at first right. They outhit the Giants by 12-5, with the Dodgers having a 4-11 RISP! The LA team is currently hitting very well and their spot is better than Philadelphia's as well. The Dodgers are on a home-home series spot, while the Phillies traveled from San Diego and even though that isn't a big trip, they played a 13 innings game last night!

The Phillies are starting Jonathan Pettibone tonight, even though he is struggling with a back injury. His 5.68 ERA on his last five starts also aren't impressive. On a 4-days rest spot, I expect him to struggle big time tonight against a confident Dodgers' lineup. Pettibone's command has been terrible with 1/1, 1/1, 4/2 and 1/2 K/BB ratios, with no strikeout punch, so this is another reason for him to struggle tonight against the Dodgers. The LA team is starting Zach Greinke tonight, who held the Padres to just one run on eight innings last Saturday. He got revenge over San Diego and he has been pitching well since returning from the DL. If we exclude four games where he struggles (@Pittsburgh, @Colorado, @LA Angels, @Milwaukee), he has been pitching well and it's important to note that these four games were against good offenses! Greinke will now face the Phillies on a tough spot for them, so I expect him to dominate in here. With the Dodgers pounding Pettibone, I expect the LA team to pick up an easy home win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Los Angeles Dodgers RL -1 (w/ Z. Greinke) @ -133 / 1.75 on 5Dimes

No comments:

Post a Comment