Friday, June 7, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/06: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 907 San Diego Padres @ 908 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: A. Cashner vs J. Chacin)

Colorado is coming from an offensive burst yesterday at Cincinnati, where they won the last two games of the series and so, they are returning home tonight with good momentum. I believe that they will have a favorable matchup against Andrew Cashner, who after having some command problems that he seemed to have solved by not allowing any walks on his last two outings, the truth is that he is likely to have developed another problem: homeruns! He has allowed homeruns on his last four games, including three homeruns against Seattle and when a pitch allowed three homeruns against the Mariners at the pitching-friendly park of San Diego, this smells like huge trouble, especially when the following start is at Colorado! The Rockies showed once again yesterday that their offense is hitting well against RH pitchers, so we can expect them to crush Cashner tonight. He had a start against Colorado last year and it was a disaster with 10 hits and 6 runs allowed on 3.2 innings. 

On the other hand, Jhoulys Chacin had some problems on his last start against the Dodgers, but I expect him to bounce back today to continue a trend of bounce backs. He allowed five runs against the Rays, but bounced back at St Louis with just two runs allowed. He struggled at San Francisco with eight runs allowed, just to bounce back against Arizona with three runs allowed. He has already faced San Diego twice this season and he looked good with just one and two runs allowed. With Chacin bouncing back and with Cashner getting pounded by a red hot Rockies' lineup, I expect an easy win for Colorado tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Chacin) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

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