Sunday, June 16, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/15: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 957 San Francisco Giants @ 958 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: C. Gaudin vs M. Minor)

San Francisco absolutely dominated Atlanta yesterday, with Madison Bumgarner dominating the struggling Braves' lineup, while the shorthanded Giants' lineup is now red hot with .297 BA, .395 BA and .375 BA on their last three games! Chad Gaudin will start for them today and this will be his first start this season, after having come out of the bullpen early on the season. His first two starts were also on the road and he looked really good at St Louis and Arizona, who are #7 and #10 in the league versus RH pitchers! Gaudin has a great 22.7% K% rate, so he will have a good matchup against Atlanta's lineup who is #29 in the league on K% with 23.8%!

Atlanta will start Mike Minor today and he has been great since early May! However, his advanced numbers are a bit worse than his 2.44 ERA and he won't have an easy matchup today, as the Giants are hitting .360 BA on their last 10 games versus LH pitchers! San Francisco was able to score runs against Liriano, Skaggs and Corbin, so they should also be able to put Minor in trouble today. Considering how well Gaudin is currently pitching and how the Giants' have some firepower to put Minor in trouble, I expect San Francisco to be competitive today. Therefore, I'll be taking them in here as underdogs on the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 San Francisco Giants RL +1.5 (w/ C. Gaudin) @ -130 / 1.77 on Bovada

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