Saturday, June 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/14: Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

MLB - 917 Kansas City Royals @ 918 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: L. Mendoza vs M. Moore) 

Kansas City has been winning games due to some great pitching from both their starting pitchers and bullpen. They are coming from a big win against the Rays yesterday, where not only their pitching was great, as they also had some great clutch hitting with eight runs on a single inning! The Royals will face Matt Moore tonight, whose luck has ran out on his last two outings with eight and six runs allowed. Curiously, these two poor outings were after a sequence of four games where he pitched well. The problem for Moore is that Kansas City is currently very confident and they are hitting much better versus LH pitchers this season than against RH pitchers.

The Royals will start Luis Mendoza, who has been solid lately with 0, 3, 1, 1, 2, 3 and 3 runs allowed on his last seven outings. However, it's important to note that his command has been poor with 3/1, 1/3, 5/3 and 2/4 K/BB ratios on his last four outings! Mendoza faced the Rays earlier on this season and he got pounded with six runs allowed in just four innings. Tampa Bay's offense is a bad matchup for him, as they are a patient team, so they force a lot of walks, while they are also good in avoiding getting struck out. With Mendoza having command issues, the Rays will certainly take advantage of that. Mendoza throws 67% fastballs and 28% curveballs and the Rays are #8 and #6 respectively in hitting against these pitches. 

With both Mendoza and Moore likely to struggle tonight, I expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917/918 Over 8 (w/ L. Mendoza & M. Moore) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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