Saturday, June 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/14: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 909 San Francisco Giants @ 910 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs K. Medlen)

Even though the Giants are currently shorthanded, they are coming from back to back games at Pittsburgh where their offense exploded with .375 and .395 BA! Therefore, they are coming to this series at Atlanta with some momentum and hot bats! On the other hand, the Braves is coming from a series at San Diego, where they got swept! San Francisco will start Madison Bumgarner, who had a good bounce back on their last start at Arizona, with three runs allowed in five innings. He had five days off for tonight's outing, so he will fresh tonight. Atlanta's offense is currently struggling and they have been poor this season against LH pitchers by being just #17 on the league! So, no wonder that Bumgarner dominated the Braves earlier on this season with 1 run allowed in seven innings, while having a 11/2 K/BB ratio!

Atlanta will start Kris Medlen tonight, who has been improving lately with strong back to back outings against Pittsburgh and the Dodgers at LA, after struggling a lot early on the season. He didn't allow a single run on these two outings, while having a 6/1 and 6/0 K/BB ratios! But note that Pittsburgh is #23 on the league versus RH pitchers with .684 OPS, while the Dodgers are #25 in the league with a .678 OPS! So, Medlen had great matchups on his last two starts, something that won't happen tonight, as San Francisco is #13 versus RH pitchers with a .727 OPS! Unlike Bumgarner, Medlen has already faced the Giants twice this season and he struggle in both games. In fact, the Giants' roster is hitting .357 BA and 1.176 OPS against Medlen on 42 At Bats! Looking at San Francisco's good momentum, a pitching edge and a better matchup, I expect the Giants to pick up a nice road win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ +124 / 2.24 on Bovada

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