MLB - 955 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 956 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: J. Gomez vs R. Porcello)
I believe Jeanmar Gomez is being completely overrated and that he will be exposed by Detroit's offense. Gomez may have a 2.75 ERA, but his advanced numbers of 4.96 FIP and 4.26 xFIP tell another story. The Pirates don't want Gomez to go deep on his outings and so, he is yet to go further than the 5th inning. However, Pittsburgh's bullpen has been used a lot lately by having to pitch four innings on each of their last two games. Besides Gomez having advanced numbers much worse than his ERA, the fact is that he had great matchups, as the Cubs are #16 on hitting against RH pitchers with .727 OPS, while Houston is #27, the Mets #22, Seattle #23 and Milwaukee #17! Detroit is #5 on this stat with .782 OPS versus RH pitchers this season, so I expect them to pound Gomez today and get him back to Earth. Therefore, I'll be taking the Tigers' Team Total to go Over tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Detroit Tigers Team Total Over 4,5 Runs @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes
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