MLB - 955 Chicago Cubs @ 956 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: S. Feldman vs B. Arroyo)
Cincinnati had a day off after having crushed the Mets on the road. On the other hand, the Cubs got swept at Pittsburgh, including a loss yesterday on an early game. They will start Scott Feldman today, who has been impressive in May, including a great start against the Mets, where he shutdown them for 6.2 innings for his fifth quality start in a row. Feldman is 3-0 in May and he has allowed just three runs and 17 hits on his last starts, while having a great 27/6 K/BB ratio as well! Even his advanced numbers don't lie: 1.69, 2.54, 2.62 and 3.60 FIP on these four outings! He has been great on throwing cutters and curveballs, two areas where the Reds' offense is #20 and #10 on the league. This will be his first start against Cincinnati and only Choo, Hannahan and Izturis have previous at bats against him, with a combined of 6-39 .154 BA! This is definitely a great spot for Feldman to continue his dominant May!
On the other hand, the Reds will start Brandon Arroyo tonight, who didn't allow a single run on his last two outings, while having 6/2 and 5/1 K/BB ratios! He has been pitching well against RH hitters as usual, with a 2.65 FIP and 3.43 xFIP, while he has been pounded by LH batters with his FIP and xFIP close to 5.00! Having in account that his last two outings where he was impressive were against Milwaukee (full of righties) and Philadelphia (awful hitting team), Arroyo simply took advantage of nice matchups to impress. The Cubs are hitting .292 BA on his last 10 games against RH pitchers and they are #16 in the league versus RH pitchers with a .727 OPS! Not bad at all! Considering how Feldman has a great spot and how Arroyo is prone to some struggles, I see the Cubs having a great value at the current odds and so, I'll be taking them in here!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ S. Feldman) @ +143 / 2.43 on Bovada
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