MLB - 971 Cleveland Indians @ 972 Boston Red Sox
(Starting Pitchers: J. Masterson vs J. Lackey)
Looking at the weather report, it's likely that this game will have some rain delays and if we had a perfect spot for the over yesterday, today the wind will helping the pitchers instead. Cleveland will be starting Justin Masterson, who after a bad stretch has returned to the ace-like level that he had shown at the start of the season by allowing just 0, 0 and 3 runs on his last three starts against Seattle, the NY Yankees and Oakland! He has some previous nice numbers against the Red Sox, but he actually allowed 4 runs in 5 innings on a previous start against them this season, even though that he was unlucky in that game as he had a 7.20 ERA in that outing, while having a 2.24 FIP and 3.97 xFIP! What ruined his performance on that game was the quite high .524 BABIP, his season high!
On the other side, John Lackey has been pitching well for the Red Sox this season. He had just one bad start at Tampa Bay in four games, while showing a good command with just two walks on his last three games. This is why he has overall good numbers this season: 3.31 ERA, 3.11 FIP and 3.23 xFIP! Having in account that the Indians' lineup is full of LH batters, Lackey has a good matchup tonight as he has 3.21 FIP and 3.97 xFIP against LH batters this season, while Cleveland's current roster is hitting just .221 BA and .713 OPS against him. Therefore, we have all conditions in here to have a surprising low scoring contest tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971/972 Under 9 (w/ J. Masterson & J. Lackey) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
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