Saturday, May 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/03: New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 907 New York Mets @ 908 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: S. Marcum vs M. Minor)

Shaun Marcum will start for the Mets tonight and he is coming from a 28-pitch bullpen appearance last Monday. His first start of the season didn't go well, with just 71 pitches thrown in 4.0 innings, while allowing three runs. His velocity is also down 1 mph in comparison to last season (86.5 to 85.4). His inability of throwing strikes with his slower fastball makes me believe that he is completely on fade alert right now. Atlanta's offense hasn't been awesome lately, after a great start of the season, but this is a golden opportunity for them to bounce back tonight.

On the other hand, Atlanta will be starting Mike Minor, who is coming from an outing where he got crushed at Detroit. He pitched for 6.2 innings against the Tigers, while allowing six earned runs on six hits. He was actually pitching well until he ran into trouble on the six inning in Detroit. His ERA ballooned from 1.80 into 3.13, but I believe he will be able to get back on track tonight. He had four great starts in a row against the Cubs, Miami, Kansas City and Colorado. His letdown against the Tigers doesn't worry me, as they are a top offensive team and it was a Sunday Night Baseball game, so Detroit was fired up and ended up pounding Minor. The Mets started the season red hot against LH pitchers, but they have completely regressed lately and they are already just #19 in the league with .665 OPS against them this season. Therefore, I believe Minor has a nice matchup tonight to bounce back and so, I'll be taking the Braves tonight for a comfortable win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ M. Minor) @ -136 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

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