Saturday, May 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/03: Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians


MLB - 919 Minnesota Twins @ 920 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: P. Hernandez vs J. Masterson)

Minnesota is starting Pedro Hernandez tonight and he is coming from a great outing against Texas at home. However, he will now play on the road and he has a 11.00 ERA and .381 BA allowed against him on the previous two road games he has already played. Now against a red hot Indians's offense, I believe the young Hernandez is going to suffer a clear letdown tonight.

Cleveland is starting Justin Masterson tonight, who had a nice start of the season with a 3-0 and 0.41 ERA on his first three outings. However, he went 1-2 with a 6.38 ERA on his last three starts. That includes a terrible outing against Kansas City last Sunday, where he allowed seven runs in 6.1 innings. His numbers on his last two outings are absolutely terrible: 9.95 ERA, 4.12 FIP and 2.97 xFIP & 2.57 ERA, 5.59 FIP and 5.56 xFIP! Masterson is struggling a lot against LH hitters this season with a 3.90 FIP this season, while he has a 2.34 FIP against RH batters. Minnesota's lineup for tonight is full of LH hitters in order to take advantage of this:

1. Brian Dozier (R) 2B
2. Joe Mauer (L) C
3. Justin Morneau (L) 1B
4. Ryan Doumit (S) DH
5. Chris Parmelee (L) RF
6. Trevor Plouffe (R) 3B
7. Oswaldo Arcia (L) LF
8. Aaron Hicks (S) CF
9. Pedro Florimon (S) SS

That's seven batters who hit on the left side and so, I believe Masterson is going to struggle a lot tonight. Therefore, I believe both pitchers will struggle tonight and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919/920 Over 8,5 (w/ P. Hernandez & J. Masterson) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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