MLB - 909 Kansas City Royals @ 910 Baltimore Orioles
(Starting Pitchers: J. Guthrie vs F. Garcia)
On the first two games of this series, Kansas City has some chances to win, but Baltimore was able to seal the deal in both contests. For tonight, I believe the Royals have a great spot to win a game on this series. They will start Jeremy Guthrie and it will be the first time that he will pitch against his former team at Baltimore, so we can expect him to be fired up tonight. He has been pitching really well this season, in order to continue the excellent form that he had already showed at the end of the past season. He was really impressive over his last two outings by shutting down both the Indians and the White Sox.
On the other hand, Baltimore will start Freddy Garcia tonight and he had a nice debut at LA against the Angels. Still, his advanced numbers don't impress me with 2.70 ERA. 4.78 FIP and 4.14 xFIP! His inability to striking out batters is also worrying. He lives from the groundballs, but the Royals's offense is #6 in the league in GB% rate, so Kansas City will be a bad matchup for him. Therefore, I see the Royals having some nice value as underdogs tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ J. Guthrie) @ +109 / 2.09 on 5Dimes
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