MLB - 959 San Diego Padres @ 960 Arizona Diamondbacks
(Starting Pitchers: E. Stults vs B. McCarthy)
Arizona will start Brandon McCarthy, who has been slightly improving lately after a terrible start of the season. He didn't allow a single run on his last two outings, where he pitched for eight and nine innings! However, I can't ignore the fact that he faced Miami, Philadelphia and the LA Dodgers on his last three starts, the three teams that are exactly in the bottom three this season in hitting versus RH pitchers! He will now face San Diego, who is #18 in the league against RH pitchers with .712 OPS this season and with a decent .278 BA on their last 10 games! McCarthy's go-to-pitch is the cutter and San Diego is #5 in the league in hitting against those. Therefore, I believe McCarthy will go back to struggling tonight in my opinion.
On the other side, San Diego will start Eric Stults who is coming from an outing against Washington, where he allowed just one run in eight winnings. This was another good outing from him, who has allowed just seven runs on his last four starts on a span of 26.1 innings. Stults has been solid lately, but his season numbers aren't that great: 4.05 ERA, 3.81 FIP and 4.32 xFIP! Stults struggled against Tampa Bay and San Francisco earlier on the season and these two teams are #11 and #24 respectively on hitting against LH pitchers this season. On the other hand, Arizona is #20 with .672 OPS, while showing some improvements on this area lately. Stults is likely to struggle tonight, as he has a flyball rate a bit high. Therefore, I see this game turning into a shootout and so, I'll be taking the Over tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959/960 Over 9 (w/ E. Stults & B. McCarthy) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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