(Starting Pitchers: T. Cingrani vs C. Lee)
Tony Cingrani started the season on fire with lots of strikeouts, with the help of the surprise factor. As time goes by, this surprise factor disappears and after 8, 9 and 11 strikeouts, he had just 5 and 4 strikeouts on his last two outings, while the walks have started to appear as well. As he throws a lot of fastballs, the home runs are also starting to be a problem. He had a 7.19 and 9.02 FIP on his last two starts, so he is likely to get pounded sooner or later.
On the other hand, Cliff Lee is coming from four great outings, with 3.02, 3.15, 2.69 and 3.31 FIP! Cincinnati is a top team against LH pitchers with .266 BA (#11 in the league), but they are just hitting .204 BA on their last 10 games! Lee has already faced Cincinnati this season and even though he lost that game, he pitched well with a 2.57 ERA, 2.31 FIP and 3.96 xFIP. I believe Lee will have a clear SP edge to the Phillies tonight, so I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 904 Philadelphia Phillies ML (w/ C. Lee) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes
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