MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Tampa Bay Rays
(Starting Pitchers: D. Phelps vs R. Hernandez)
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
I took Roberto Hernandez on his last start at Baltimore and I was lucky because he only pitched for two innings, as he allowed five runs and eight hits during that span. Fortunately for us, Baltimore's bullpen choked the game away at the end. Hernandez's main issue has been with homeruns. His best pitch is the changeup and he has a nice matchup tonight, as the Yankees are just #19 on hitting against those this season. Hernandez hasn't pitched against the Yankees since 2011, so I believe he has a bit of surprise factor going on tonight and this will allow him to bounce back nicely at home.
On the other side, David Phelps is coming from two starts where he threw 115 and 113 pitches! He had 8/3 and 7/5 K/BB ratios in those outings, but considering that he faced the Blue Jays and the Indians in those starts, I can't say that he was terrible on those games. Phelps's main pitch is the cutter, but he will struggle tonight as Tampa Bay is #2 in the league in hitting against those. I see the Rays being underrated in here, as Hernandez isn't a weaker pitcher than Phelps, while he actually has a better matchup tonight and the Rays' lineup is certainly hitting better than the Yankees right now. If we add the home factor, I expect Tampa Bay to pick up a nice win over their divisional rivals in here! So, I'll be taking it on a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 970 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ R. Hernandez) @ -113 / 1.89 on Betonline
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