(Starting Pitchers: R. Detwiler vs A. Burnett)
Ross Detwiler is starting for the Nationals tonight and he has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his five starts this season. His main problem has been the lack of run support, as Washington is hitting quite poorly this season. They have a lot of injury problems, including Bryce Harper who is currently dealing with a minor injury. Detwiler is a contact pitcher, but who hasn't been having a nice command lately, with 3/1 and 2/2 K/BB ratio. He hasn't allowed a lot of runs, but with an average-at-best command and allowing 11 and 8 hits, it's likely that he will regress quite soon. The Pirates's offense might be #27 in the league in hitting against LH pitchers this season, but they have improved into .277 BA over their last 10 games! Therefore, I expect Pittsburgh to put Detwiler in some damage tonight.
On the other side, A.J. Burnett has been amazing this season. He ended April with a NL-high 48 strikeouts and he has been great on his last three starts. His season stats of 2.83 ERA, 2.56 FIP and 2.89 xFIP make no mistake. He is being indeed one of most dominant pitchers of the league this season. Washington has been hitting quite poorly this season due to some injuries and they are the 5th worst team in terms of K% allowed over the last week with 24.8%! This turns them into a great matchup for Burnett, who should have another very dominant performance. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for Pittsburgh and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ A. Burnett) @ -130 / 1.77 on Betonline
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