NBA - 505 Orlando Magic @ 506 Indiana Pacers
Projected line: 196 points
This Howard-less version of Orlando has been obviously much worse on defense, as their season average in defensive efficiency was 106, but without Howard, the efficiency rate goes to 113! At the rim, Orlando with Howard was allowing 63% FG, but without Howard, they allowed 67% FG. With Indiana having a lot of depth in the frontcourt, especially with Hibbert and West, so the Pacers will have a clear edge down low on this series, as Orlando will play Big Baby and Anderson in the frontcourt.
Therefore, I don't expect coach Van Gundy wanting his team to play half court sets against the Pacers. He will try to put his team playing more wide open, as the only way for Orlando to win is to play fast and on a jump shooting game, where the Magic can be a potent team from the outside. Hedo will play, but he will still be without rhythm and I see him having a lot of trouble in stopping Granger. Indiana is also a very aggressive team with a high FT rate and I expect them to be aggressive from the start.
I expect a game played on a relatively fast pace, with both teams having clear offensive mismatches in this matchup. So, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Over 191,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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