Sunday, April 15, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/14: Boston Celtics @ New Jersey Nets


NBA - 705 Boston Celtics @ 706 New Jersey Nets

Projected line: Boston by 12 points

Boston overlooked the Raptors yesterday and they paid the price of that. They were easily leading the game, as Toronto shot 18,2% FG in the first quarter, with Boston getting a 7pts lead in the quarter. Then, the Celtics rested their starters in the second quarter and even though they added some points to their lead, when the starters returned to the court in the third quarter, they got cold and Boston got outscored by 27-11 in the third quarter to turn the game around. Toronto eventually led the game by 15 points and that was too much for Boston to come back from.

Naturally, today's spot isn't good for the Celtics, but I believe they will now take the Nets seriously on this bounce back spot for them. The truth is that New Jersey is a great matchup for Boston. They are playing undersized with Humphries playing major minutes as center and in their last two games against Philadelphia, the Nets were completely outrebounded in both games. As they have no interior threat, all their offensive game is based on their perimeter, as shown yesterday in Philadelphia, where they shot 9-26 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-16 3pts! Boston is an excellent defensive team and they won't have problems in shutting down the Nets offense today.

On the other side, New Jersey with no interior presence will heavily struggle to stop the cuts from Bradley and Garnett's jumpers when he goes to the outside. The Nets are coming from a big win yesterday and on this letdown spot for them, I expect them to get crushed today by the fired up Celtics. Therefore, I'll be taking Boston today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705 Boston Celtics (-7) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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