NBA - 507 Dallas Mavericks @ 508 Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected line: Oklahoma City by 11 points
This is a big game for Oklahoma City and I expect the Thunder to have too much energy for a team like Dallas to handle them. The Mavs have been struggling in being consistent in terms of in-game energy and against a team like Oklahoma City, this will be fatal to them. Suddenly, West is struggling with the flu and Kidd doesn't have legs for a player like Westbrook anymore. Eventually, coach Carlisle will have to put Marion defending Westbrook, but that will expose Durant who I expect to be highly aggressive on this series.
Dallas has been struggling on rebounds lately and with Oklahoma City allowing just 55% FG at the rim since the All Star game, I expect the Thunder to control the glass and force Dallas to be a jump shooting team. Last season that worked for Dallas, but that won't simply work this season, as the Thunder are now clearly a much more impressive team, while the Mavs have regressed and don't seem to have the same ball movement and effectiveness in both ends of the floor that they had last season. Therefore, I expect Oklahoma City to make a statement on this first game of the series and get a blowout win today. So, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Oklahoma City Thunder (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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